Africa’s resources are again in high
demand from the world’s industrially developed nations. Two in particular are
geared to make the most of this competition – U.S. and China. In their efforts
to win lie many unknowns, though there is a possibility Africa could become a
victim of their rapacious appetites. A continent of nations led by corrupt
governments, coupled with wealthy suitors capable and willing to do anything
for more of what their economies and global status need is a very bad mix, to
say the least.
For the better part of modern history,
Africans, it would appear, have never owned Africa. Unfortunately, the wealth
of the land and the spoils from the efforts of its people, has been ferried to
“better” and far away places – places most Africans have no chance of ever
seeing. This has been Africa’s lived reality. It is still so at this very
moment whilst you read this. It is no secret. Many Africans know this. History
classes all over the world teach this to the students of history. The “resource
curse” set upon the most endowed continent has its riches serving, ironically,
to impoverish its people.
Yet, there is something absolutely
sinister about this continent’s history. For those who profit from her have
always had the mind and tact to peacefully share her, just not with the people
who inhabit the continent. This is the reason for fine, straight lines on maps
depicting Africa’s borders. You would be hard pressed to find examples of spoils
from the continent’s efforts or natural riches going to its inhabitants, safe
for those who help in the thievery. The history of Africa explains the state it
is currently in. It explains why it fails in so many ways to live up to the
expectations of its peoples.
At the moment its prospects are bright, it
seems destined to have a chance at accomplishing its potential. Though, it also
comes close to repeating history. It may, once again, be the theatre where more
powerful actors have their way, leaving a shattered continent behind. China and
the United States are equally in pursuit of what they can have from Africa, and
the continent’s fate once again is in the balance. The competition, and how
these two powerful nations compete over Africa will determine whether or not it
is saved from repeating history.
The attention Africa is receiving now is
different from history in one regard – Africa can actually benefit from the
competition the global market has created for its resources. But could it
survive being part of the geo-political calculus of two global powers? Can
Africans reap the rewards of having what the two most important global
economies want? These are questions experts often provide conjectures
answering, because no can be certain whether good or damnation will come from
this. There is so much to loose if African governments get it wrong again.
Both the U.S. and China need Africa,
especially in the competition against each other. Oil, votes in international
forums, and a market for their export goods are chief amongst their pursuits.
The United States still enjoys a very good amount of political capital in
sub-Saharan Africa but, like in North Africa and the Middle East, it is
increasingly viewed as a paternalistic hegemony, singularly self-interested and
not in helping Africa overcome its structural problems.
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| In busy African markets, cheap Chinese products often take away the competitive edge of local businesses, thereby ruining the livelihood of locals. |
With the turn of the new century has come
a considerable drop in U.S. popularity in sub-Saharan Africa. Many of the
continent’s leaders are happy to have a second source of capital investments
void of good governance (strings-attached) requirements. At the same time,
ordinary sub-Saharan Africans are disillusioned with the age-old rhetoric from
Western governments supporting democratic institutions, while Western private
firms (especially the extractive industries) conduct business as usual –
undermining government transparency; engaging in extensive environmental
damage; and involving themselves, to disastrous effects, in local politics.
There is one important, though less
visible, dimension to Africa’s relationship with the U.S. and China – its
asymmetrical power. Africa, with all its resources in demand, is the junior
partner at the table. China may still be considered a developing country, but
it has long surpassed every country in sub-Saharan Africa. It has industrial
and human resource capabilities that sub-Saharan African countries couldn’t
even dream of, safe for South Africa. This power dynamic makes it possible for
African governments to easily be bullied or turned into proxies.
China cannot continually pump billions of
dollars in foreign direct investments (FDI) into a politically volatile place
as Africa and not one day be required to protect its investments with military
might. In fact, it must have already made such a strategic contingency plan
before its government-backed FDIs went into Africa. The same can be said for
the United States. However, the United States already has AFRICOM on the
ground, increasingly spreading its strategic relationships with the national
security arms of Africa’s governments. The close quarters in which both
countries are operating on the continent makes it only a matter of time before
their veiled competition becomes full-blown and permeates every aspect of the
continent’s politics. It could completely suck the life out of the continent’s
nascent democracies and its weak regional and continental bodies.
Africa is the land of many things, including proverbs. “When two elephants fight, it is the ground that suffers!” That has always been one that stuck with me. These two giants, through their competition, can leave devastation in their wake when their tussle is done. There is much to gain for Africans, though. But, one is truly pessimistic when history and the current state of affairs are examined - African governments are weak; little or no transparency exist in African macro-economies; lack of true ownership of the most important industries within their economies, and the list goes on. Yet, perhaps we should dare to imagine that it could be different this time around. That Africa’s abundance can help save her people from their current, undeserving sorry state.
Africa is the land of many things, including proverbs. “When two elephants fight, it is the ground that suffers!” That has always been one that stuck with me. These two giants, through their competition, can leave devastation in their wake when their tussle is done. There is much to gain for Africans, though. But, one is truly pessimistic when history and the current state of affairs are examined - African governments are weak; little or no transparency exist in African macro-economies; lack of true ownership of the most important industries within their economies, and the list goes on. Yet, perhaps we should dare to imagine that it could be different this time around. That Africa’s abundance can help save her people from their current, undeserving sorry state.
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